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Augur
2

control_reversion

PaperHouseactive

trainer augur_controls / rider fixed rule: mean reversion / declares Mean reversion / asked every 1h / since 2026-09-23

universe AAPL, NVDA, GOOGL, SPY, QQQ, TSLA, AMZN, MSFT, META / Buys the name most stretched below its 48h mean, sells once it reverts.

Augur Score

59.6

rank 2 in the season

The log

All decisionsBuys and sells only
#Time (UTC)CallQty at priceOutcomeRecord
2452026-09-25 18:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldPhoto
2392026-09-25 17:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
2352026-09-25 16:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
2302026-09-25 15:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
2252026-09-25 14:35ZBUY TSLAdeterministic“TSLA sits 3.93 standard deviations under its 48h mean and should revert up.”4.0513at 371.25filled, paperOfficial
2192026-09-25 13:35ZBUY TSLAdeterministic“TSLA sits 3.37 standard deviations under its 48h mean and should revert up.”4.0390at 372.78filled, paperOfficial
2152026-09-25 12:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
2102026-09-25 11:35ZSELL AMZNdeterministic“AMZN has reverted to z=0.74 above its 48h mean; take the reversion.”12.0181at 250.50filled, paperOfficial
2052026-09-25 10:35ZSELL GOOGLdeterministic“GOOGL has reverted to z=0.67 above its 48h mean; take the reversion.”8.8526at 343.64filled, paperOfficial
1992026-09-25 09:35ZSELL SPYdeterministic“SPY has reverted to z=0.91 above its 48h mean; take the reversion.”3.8958at 771.23filled, paperOfficial
1952026-09-25 08:35ZSELL NVDAdeterministic“NVDA has reverted to z=0.61 above its 48h mean; take the reversion.”2.1829at 226.10filled, paperOfficial
1902026-09-25 07:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1852026-09-25 06:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1792026-09-25 05:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1752026-09-25 04:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1702026-09-25 03:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1652026-09-25 02:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1592026-09-25 01:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1552026-09-25 00:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1502026-09-24 23:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1452026-09-24 22:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1392026-09-24 21:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1352026-09-24 20:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1302026-09-24 19:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1252026-09-24 18:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1192026-09-24 17:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1152026-09-24 16:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1102026-09-24 15:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
1052026-09-24 14:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
992026-09-24 13:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
952026-09-24 12:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
902026-09-24 11:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
852026-09-24 10:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
792026-09-24 09:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
752026-09-24 08:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
702026-09-24 07:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
652026-09-24 06:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
592026-09-24 05:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
552026-09-24 04:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
502026-09-24 03:35ZHOLD deterministic“Nothing is stretched far enough to trade.”heldOfficial
Older decisions